NVIDIA (NVDA) Pre-Earnings Breakdown | 5 Days Before Earnings: Buy the Dip or Big Risk Ahead?
Description
NVIDIA (NVDA) Pre-Earnings Breakdown | 5 Days Before Earnings: Buy the Dip or Big Risk Ahead?
Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.
With 5 days to go until NVIDIA reports earnings on November 19th, the stock has started pulling back. The question now is simple:
Is this a dip worth buying, or is the risk too high heading into earnings?
Let’s break down NVIDIA’s fundamentals, technical setup, and option strategies before the big day.
⚙️ Why NVIDIA Matters Right Now
NVIDIA dominates AI accelerators, data center GPUs, gaming GPUs, autonomous vehicles, robotics, and more.
The company sits at the center of the global AI boom — and investors treat it as the “heartbeat” of the entire AI cycle.
CEO Jensen Huang (not Jason Wong) has led NVIDIA for decades and transformed it into a $4.5+ trillion giant, with analysts asking whether NVDA can hit $5 trillion by year-end.
📊 NVIDIA Last Earnings Highlights
MetricValueRevenue$46BGross Profit$33BOperating Income$28BPre-Tax Income$31BNet Income$26BAdjusted EBITDA75%EPS (diluted)$0.67YoY Net Income Growth+168%
📌 Segment Growth
* Data Center: $26B (+16% QoQ)
* Gaming: $2.9B
These numbers are insane — yet the market reaction last quarter was muted.
Why?
* Margin compression
* Expectations already sky-high
📈 NVIDIA Growth Expectations (Annual)
YearRevenue Outlook2024: 2.94 → 2.95T2025: Expected 4.55T2026: Expected 6.74T2027: Expected 8.73T2028: Expected 8.01T
2026–2027 are the critical years.If NVIDIA fails to “pull another rabbit out of the hat,” growth may taper.
🧩 CEO Commentary (Jensen Huang)
“Demand remains strong. Anticipation for Blackwell is incredible.Global data centers are in full throttle to modernize with accelerated computing and AI.”
Translation: NVIDIA’s future growth relies on Blackwell AI chips becoming a global standard.
⚠️ Risks & Pressure Points
* China export restrictions
* High expectations baked into the stock
* Margin compression risk
* Valuation stretched heading into earnings
📉 Technical Analysis (5 Days Before Earnings)
* MACD: Sell signal with growing red bars
* RSI: 46 — slightly oversold, but not extreme
* Price Action: Bounced off 50-day moving average
* Still above: 100-day & 200-day — strong long-term uptrend
* Ichimoku: Bullish — price above cloud, Tenkan > Kijun
Support Zones
* Primary: $170 (just under 100-day MA)
* Secondary: $150–$130
* Deep Value Zone: $115–$90
Sub-$150 would be a massive buying opportunity.
💰 Option Strategy (from your transcript)
For Nov 21 expiration:
* Sell $170 Put → ~ $190–$200 premium
* If NVDA stays above $170: keep full premium
* If NVDA drops below: you buy NVDA at $170
Safer alternative:
* Sell $167.50 Put for ~$150 premium
Expected earnings move ~ ±$15
🧠 Investor Takeaways
* NVIDIA is still riding the AI boom
* Growth is exceptional
* Expectations are dangerously high
* The pullback may be buyable — but not without risk
“If you’re holding for 2027–2028, current levels are fine.But a deeper pullback would be an even better gift.”
📊 Mentioned Stocks
NVDA, AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, QQQ, SPX
🔗 Relevant Links
💡 Final Thoughts
NVIDIA’s upcoming earnings are one of the biggest catalysts of the year.The potential upside is massive — but so is the volatility risk.
“If NVDA dips, I’m buying. If it pops, I’m holding.”— Norbert B.M., Wealth Dome
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